My suspicions ran rampant the moment the media began singing hosanna’s of the NIE’s report that became the darling story of the Defeat At All Cost Brigades. The news since Ahmadinejad’s first address to the UN in 2005, where he subsequently announced that he had a “divine” epiphany of destroying America while we sat helpless, has been one confirmation after another from his regime that Iran is on the fast-track to nuclear weapons status.
As forthcoming and truthful as a CNN-hosted political debate, the NIE report has become the Hail Mary Pass for the Anti-war Left, who were screaming against any action against Iran’s nuclear program, or their madman’s proclamations of starting an Apocalypse to fulfill his nation’s supposed destiny in bringing back the 12th Imam.
But true to our suspicions – comes word that the NIE report was written by political hacks and their analysts – not by actual members of the spook community:
A highly controversial, 150 page National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran’s nuclear programs was coordinated and written by former State Department political and intelligence analysts — not by more seasoned members of the U.S. intelligence community, Newsmax has learned.
Its most dramatic conclusion — that Iran shut down its nuclear weapons program in 2003 in response to international pressure — is based on a single, unvetted source who provided information to a foreign intelligence service and has not been interviewed directly by the United States.
We discover that this is not new with political operatives running loose inside America’s national security operatus:
This carrot and stick approach has been the State Department’s preferred policy for the past 27 years, and has only strengthened the resolve of Iran’s leaders to continue defying the United States.
Of course as Timmerman’s article points out – the Democrats and the Ron Paul and Anti-war brigades are giddy as a schoolgirl in Spring over the NIE report, which really serves the interests of Ahmadinejad and his quest for destroying the Great and Little Satan. Jihadists from Bin Laden to Ahmadinejad understand just as Vietnamese General Giap noted in his memoirs, that America’s defeat lies not on the battlefield, but in securing the defeat of America at home by the anti-war forces, and striking a killing blow upon our retreat. It would seem that the NIE operatives are willing to work with the Democrats and the Anti-war Left to serve that defeat up on a Silver platter if it means attaining political power, regardless of the costs we may endure down the road. At best the NIE is completely clueless and has absolutely no idea what is really going on inside Iran’s nuke program outside of what they hope, and at worst – they do not care.
If anything is clear from the new National Intelligence Estimate, it’s that the U.S. intelligence agencies have no clear idea of what’s going on in Iran. The authors of the intelligence estimate concede that despite their earlier conclusions they can’t really say how far Iran’s nuclear program has advanced, or how close Iran is to developing atomic weapons. It’s irrefutable that Iran may have a nuclear weapon in the foreseeable future — whether in 2009, 2013 or 2015 is not so clear.
The only weapon the Democrats want to employ against our enemies in the Middle East is a white flag. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, as wobbly on Iran as on the Iraq war, says the Bush administration should be pushing for a “surge in diplomacy” with dealing with Iran.
Mr. Reid, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other leading Democrats have a “can we talk?” message for the terrorists in Iraq — where Tehran, working through proxies, has been actively working to destabilize the country and kill and maim American soldiers. They’re eager to embarrass President Bush and denying sufficient funding to the military to do the job against al Qaeda terrorists for another year is the way they’re determined to embarrass him.
Par for the course it would seem, with an intelligence apparatus that has become nothing more than a domestic political tool that our enemies have learned how to use against us by appealing to the selfish motives of power that our intel services are consumed with. After all, Congress and the Left have steadily worked for decades to undermine and deconstruct our military and intelligence capabilities.
As this article details, our intelligence agencies have missed the mark from everything from the deposing of the Shah in 1979 to 9-11, due a history of political meddling and efforts to undermine and politicize the one tool we most desperately need in this world to stay one step ahead of our enemies. As the analysis of the article reveals:
Democrats, with occasional exceptions, have spent a quarter century of undermining, mismanaging and debunking our military and our intelligence capabilities (including attempts to abolish the CIA) …no fair-minded person can ignore that on several critical fronts our intelligence was wrong and our decisions based on false assumptions and erroneous information. The Bush team has likewise been slow to deal with homeland security issues satisfactorily, most notably border issues.
Much hay will continue to be made by the media and the Anti-war Left of this NIE report.
But one has to ask, since this is the SAME NIE group that gave “High confidence” info of Iran’s threshold of attaining nuke capability in 2005 – with documented evidence that Tehran was “Much further along than we thought” – were they lying or mistaken then, or are they lying now?
Remembering how shocked and surprised they all were when Pakistan and India suddenly tested nuclear bombs that our Intelligence had assumed were decades from being able to create – I can only assume from recent history that America will one day awaken to a similar suprise of Iran detonating a nuclear weapon, much sooner than we would have thought – and hopefully not from within an American or Israeli city.
Given Ahmadinejad’s promises of a “world without America” and “Wiping Israel from the map” – such a hope may be nothing but a fool’s hope at best.